Seasonal Trend of Global Bonds – Elliott Wave Technician

The US-30 Year and the US-10 Year Bonds both decline from the beginning of the year into a bottom around April / May every year, and from then on rising into October / November. Then a new decline begins. This is more or less the opposite of the stock market.

Yield of course moves opposite of bonds. On this 10 year bond yield chart the seasonal bias is relatively clear.

Euro Bund 10 Year is declining from the beginning of the year into a bottoms around April / May and from then on rising into January the following year.

GB Gilt is rising from the beginning of the year into April making a top and then decline into a bottoming around June / July, and from then on rising into April the following year.

Japanese Bond 10 Year is rising from the beginning of the year into May making a top and then declining into July / August making a bottom, and then a new rise into May the following year.

The Rothschild Brothers of London writing to associates in New York, 1863, laying the groundwork for the eventual passage of their catastrophic Federal Reserve Act on December 23, 1913:

“The few who understand the system will either be so interested in its profits or be so dependent upon its favors that there will be no opposition from that class, while on the other hand, the great body of people, mentally incapable of comprehending the tremendous advantage that capital derives from the system, will bear its burdens without complaint, and perhaps without even suspecting that the system is inimical to their interests.”